Feb 5: Trading and Intervention – Ways This Moves the Forex Market

by David Jenyns on February 5, 2007

When trading on the foreign currency exchange market or the Forex using trading and intervention techniques can offer traders benefits. When traders look to intervention as a means of seeing where the Forex is heading, it can indicated that some currencies should be higher or lower depending on what is going on in that country.

Intervention of the Forex is not unusual. When there is a large tragedy or debt in a country, the value of that nation’s currency will drop. There was a time when the budget deficit of the United States caused the value of the dollar to decline very rapidly in relation to the Japanese yen. This caused the Japanese yen to rise very quickly. When this happens, brokers and Forex traders can forecast, or speculate that an intervention is likely. Intervention makes the value of a currency to either rise or fall depending on how the government wants it to move, even if it is short term.

When experienced brokers and Forex traders understand when intervention is likely, it creates the opportunity for the trader to profit by acting quickly. Using intervention as a means of trading on the Forex means that a trader must be up to date on current events from around the world and must be able to act upon the trends very quickly. In addition, it can be very risky to trade on intervention trends and there is the potential for the trader to lose a large amount of capital in a very short amount of time.

In order to completely understand the foreign exchange market and they way currency moves, it is necessary to understand economics from around the world. The Forex solely revolves around currency and their value in relation to each other. The value of the currency plays a huge role in both domestic and global economics.

Intervention is also directly related to the value of the currency and to the central banks. Currency obtains the value by supply and demand and by the government, or the central bank. When a currency is subjected to being valued it is called floating. When a government sets the rates of the currency, it is called fixing. This means that a country’s currency is compared against another major currency, usually the U. S. dollar.

Intervention in the Forex usually happens during times of economic instability. Since currencies are always traded in pairs, then a large and significant movement of the rates in one direction or the other will directly impact the other. Any time nation experiences instability due to inflation, speculation, disasters or growing national debt, the other country will feel the affects as well. Most of the time, the results of this are not felt immediately, but over a long period of time. This times lapse allows the government or central banks to act accordingly and gives them time to intervene if necessary.

When looking at charts of the way the foreign currency market performs, interventions are usually noticeable on graphs and charts. The intervention may not be made public, but an experience trader can look at these graphs over a period of time and tell when a government has chosen to intervene with the currency rates.

Knowing when an intervention is going to occur is not always easy. It may be very difficult for the untrained trader to know when this is going to happen. However, for those who have experience trading on the Forex, predicting an intervention can be as easy as looking at certain indicators. Usually, interventions occur when the same price levels as occur as previous interventions. This is not always true since some central banks choose not to intervene, but it a good indicator most of the time. Another indicator of when the Forex undergoes intervention is when there are verbal clues. A government might talk about intervening, but it might not happen for a long time. Other times, interventions will happen with no warning.

When trading on the Forex, it is a good idea to make decisions that are informed and will benefit you. If you are inexperienced with trading on the foreign currency exchange, look for a good broker that is backed by a well-known financial institution.

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